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M1 & M2 Growth still decelerating.

7/13/2012

 
Kevin Spires, CFA, FRM
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M1 growth rates continue to decelerate.  The M/M growth rate is 3.53% (All figures Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rates or SAAR).  The Q/Q growth rate is 5.58%, while the Y/Y growth rate is still quite frothy at 16.72%

The downward trend has been in place for months with no clear bottoming in sight.

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M2 growth has followed a similar path, but has seen a bit of stabilization over the past month.  The M/M growth rate is 7.80% - higher than the Q/Q growth rate of 4.99%, but still lower than the healthy Y/Y growth rate of 9.57%

If the M2 growth rate can rebound in the absence of further quantitative easing then the economy is probably a lot stronger than the gloomier economists are projecting.


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